Соболева Ю.П.

The article presents different points of view on the essence of the concept of «socio-economic potential of the region», its elements are considered. The conclusion is made. That in the Russian practice the primary importance is given to the social component of this term. Taking into account the generalization of different concepts, the study presents a set of assessment directions, using which it is possible to give an objective assessment. socio-economic potential of a particular region. Testing of the proposed method of evaluation allowed to rank the regions of the Central Federal district of the Russian Federation on the three basic components of the assessment. It is noted that the practical significance of the proposed approach will allow to develop various specific development activities for a particular region, depending on the rating received by it. Forecasting is an important issue of analysis. The human development index was chosen as the resulting indicator. The model of the forecast of its change depending on changes in the factor indicators that determine the economic and social aspects of the region's life is developed. The object of the study are the regions of the Central Federal district of the Russian Federation. The subject of the study is the socio-economic indicators of regional development. The paper uses such research methods as retrospective analysis, correlation and regression analysis, formal methods of forecasting based on extrapolation. The practical significance of the results of the study is that the developed algorithm for assessing the socio-economic potential can be applied to the assessment of any socio-economic system, including at the micro level. The theoretical significance of the study is that the importance of human potential in regional development is proved, «lever» points of influence on the change in its size are simulated in order to improve the efficiency of the object of study.