Оценка уровня экономического пессимизма институциональных групп

Abstract

Article purpose - the analysis of economic level of various institutional groups for formation of the concept of management of changes of social and economic systems. D is c u s s i o n : development of social and economic systems of various countries, their territorial subsystems considerably depends on perception of events which in general are considered as favorable or adverse. The points of view of various institutional groups on force of influence and probability of approach of events are various. It is essential to management of economic processes as plans, programs of development are implemented on the basis of expectations of various groups. For an assessment of level of pessimism the hypothesis according to which the same event is estimated various image both certain people, and their groups is made. Therefore, each event and each group can be estimated on the level of economic pessimism. In the first case economic optimism can be characterized as «event», in the second - as «institutional». R e s u lt s : in article the points of view of representatives of various institutional groups in the concrete region of the Russian Federation (Voronezh region) are analysed. On the basis of expert estimates threats to development of the region (adverse events) are formulated. Representatives of large business, small business, regional authorities, local governments, public organizations, employees of the organizations of the budgetary sphere acted as experts. Results of a research have two various aspects. First, pessimism indexes for each adverse event and each institutional group are calculated. Secondly, methodical approach to an assessment of event and institutional pessimism which is applicable to any social and economic systems is approved